Cold Snap Expected to Begin This Weekend
Arctic air is forecasted to sweep into Arkansas late Saturday into Sunday, bringing a significant drop in temperatures. The state will face a prolonged cold stretch lasting 72 to 96 hours, with daytime highs struggling to rise above freezing.
Key Impacts from the Arctic Air
- Pipe Protection: Poorly insulated pipes are at risk of bursting. Be sure to cover outdoor spigots and insulate exposed pipes.
- Frozen Water Hazards: Small ponds and creeks may ice over, creating potential dangers. Remind children to avoid walking on frozen water.
- Extreme Cold: This period is likely to mark the coldest stretch of winter, so prepare for subfreezing conditions.
Winter Storm Potential: Moisture is the Big Question
While Arctic air is a certainty, whether it will pair with moisture to bring winter weather to Arkansas is still unclear. The latest European EPS ensemble data (a blend of 51 models) suggests a strong signal for a winter storm developing early next week. Here’s what we know so far:
- Timing: Late Monday through early Wednesday.
- Regions Impacted: The storm’s highest probabilities are centered on Texas and Louisiana, with lower probabilities extending into Arkansas.
- Moisture Path: The system is expected to affect areas south of I-40, with the greatest impacts from I-20 to I-10 (north to south) and I-35 to I-95 (west to east). Snow is most likely near and north of I-20, while areas closer to I-10 could see a wintry mix of sleet and freezing rain.
What Does This Mean for Arkansas?
Arkansas is on the northern edge of the potential winter storm zone. The key variable will be how much moisture can push into the state. In some cases, the bulk of the precipitation remains south of Arkansas. However, we are still seven days out, so this forecast remains fluid.
Travel and Safety Considerations
- Significant impacts to travel are possible in regions to the south, including Texas, Louisiana, and points eastward toward Georgia and the Carolinas.
- While confidence is increasing in a winter storm for parts of the Southern Plains and Deep South, precipitation types and exact locations remain uncertain.
Preparation is Key
Regardless of whether Arkansas sees snow or wintry precipitation, the frigid temperatures will pose challenges:
- Insulate pipes and faucets to prevent bursts.
- Keep an eye on children and pets during the freezing conditions.
- Stay informed with updated forecasts as we approach the weekend and next week.
This is shaping up to be one of the most significant cold events of the season, so prepare accordingly and stay tuned for updates! ❄️
